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probability rate hike - Fed's January Rate Hike Probability Jumps to 97.2% Post Payroll Data
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2026-06-14 22:42:20 |
98 min read
The likelihood of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in January has surged to 97.2% following the latest nonfarm payrolls data, according to the CME "FedWatch" tool. This marks a significant increase from the pre-release probability of 88.4%. Conversely, the chance of a 25 basis point rate cut in January has plummeted to 2.8%, down from 11.6% before the data release.Looking ahead to March, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut stands at 32.3%, slightly down from 35.8% previously. The likelihood of rates remaining unchanged in March has risen to 66.8%, up from 60.6%, while the chance of a 50 basis point cut has decreased to 0.9% from 3.7%.Source:Show OriginalDisclaimer: The content provided on Phemex News is for informational purposes only. We do not guarantee the quality, accuracy, or completeness of the information sourced from third-party articles. The content on this page does not constitute financial or investment advice. We strongly encourage you to conduct you own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
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