The odds on Polymarket that Satoshi Nakamoto will move his Bitcoin in 2025 have jumped from 2% to 15% in the past week. This increase was fueled by four users wagering over $62,000, including two new wallets purchasing 'yes' positions. Nakamoto, whose identity remains a mystery, is believed to hold approximately 1.1 million BTC, valued at around $121 billion, which has remained untouched since 2008.The market is closely monitoring outflows from 22,000 wallets identified by Arkham Intelligence as belonging to Nakamoto, based on the Patoshi pattern. However, some bettors have expressed skepticism about the accuracy of these identifications. This betting activity is reminiscent of previous insider movements on Polymarket, such as the notable rise in Nobel Peace Prize odds.